Have Daytona Beach Home and Condo Prices Seen the Bottom?
I’ve been looking at the Case-Shiller home price data today and the data seems to be showing that the two Florida areas included in the index are at or near bottom. The index includes Miami and Tampa metro areas. There is no specific listing for Daytona Beach home sales, but I think we are pretty much in line with Miami since we are on the east coast while Tampa sits on the west coast.
During the past twelve months, prices in Miami are up 1.8% while prices in Tampa are down 2.0%. If we average them, we’re pretty much flat. That’s a pretty good indication of where we are in Daytona Beach, Ormond Beach, Port Orange and the surrounding areas.
The Pundits Speak
The National Association of Realtors Chief Economist, Dr. Lawrence Yun, and Zillow chief economist Dr. Stan Humphries, have spoken recently on the market. While they’re not in complete agreement, their message is that home prices will bottom or rise slighly in 2012.
Dr. Yun says, “The housing market has clearly turned the corner… Rising sales are bringing down inventory and creating much more balanced conditions around the county, which means home prices will be rising in more areas as the year progresses.”
Dr. Humphries said recently, “For people who have been waiting to time their home purchase close to market bottom, it’s time to start shopping… When the bottom will hit will vary by market, and it’s nearly impossible to time a purchase exactly right. But home prices are not the only part of the equation. Buyers also should take into account the possibility that rising mortgage rates could offset any further home value declines that may occur.”
You may be thinking there’s some conflict of interest with these organization predicting a bottoming of prices, but I think it’s important to note that they haven’t made predictions of this sort previously. They are very careful because their predictions will be well publicized and they’ll lose credibility. They err on the side of caution. So when these two chief economists speak and agree, it’s a pretty big deal.
What Now For The Daytona Beach Real Estate Market?
As Dr. Humphries says above, no one can predict the exact bottom. Further, just because we’ve hit bottom doesn’t mean prices are going to leap upward. From the Miami Case-Shiller data, we see that the area hit bottom about six months ago, but there hasn’t been a big jump in prices since then.
Buyers of Daytona Beach homes and Daytona Beach condos who have been on the fence about prices, may want to start looking now. We believe there are plenty of bargains out there and there will be for the short term. Remember all price data reflects averages. Some buyers will get much better deals than others. That’s where we can help. We know the market and what’s selling and can help you get the best price for a property. We also are still working a lot of short sales and that’s where many of the best bargains can be found.
Please give Lynn a call at 386-566-7503 to discuss your options. Check here to –> search all homes and condos for sale in the Daytona Beach area.